GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/21/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Arzignano Valchiampo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Triestina are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arzignano ValchiampoDWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Arzignano ValchiampoTriestina
28.1Attack53.5
67.5Defence61.4
38.6Form56.1
46.1Power58.1
0.67xG0.99
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