Arzignano Valchiampovs
Renate
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/20/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 Renate, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arzignano Valchiampo 2-1 Renate
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.7% | 36.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.9% | 32.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.3% | 31.5% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Arzignano Valchiampo 0–0 Renate
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Arzignano ValchiampoWLLDW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RenateDDLLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Arzignano ValchiampoRenate
28.1Attack33.3
67.5Defence50.0
38.6Form16.7
46.1Power36.5
0.84xG0.71