GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/17/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Arzignano Valchiampo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while PRO Vercelli are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and PRO Vercelli hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arzignano ValchiampoDWLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PRO VercelliWWWLD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Arzignano ValchiampoPRO Vercelli
28.1Attack43.9
67.5Defence58.8
38.6Form46.5
46.1Power51.1
0.73xG0.79
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