Arzignano Valchiampovs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/3/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 Pergolettese, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arzignano Valchiampo 2-2 Pergolettese
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.1% | 37.0% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.4% | 32.5% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.5% | 30.5% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.10 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Arzignano Valchiampo 0–0 Pergolettese
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Arzignano ValchiampoWWWLL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
PergoletteseDDDWD
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.20/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Arzignano ValchiampoPergolettese
28.1Attack0.0
67.5Defence100.0
38.6Form33.3
46.1Power45.3
0.75xG0.73