GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/3/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Arzignano Valchiampo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.1 against 45.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arzignano ValchiampoLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseDLLLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Arzignano ValchiampoPergolettese
28.1Attack38.6
67.5Defence56.1
38.6Form39.5
46.1Power45.8
0.79xG0.69
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