GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/21/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Arzignano Valchiampo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Padova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arzignano ValchiampoWLDWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
PadovaDDWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Arzignano ValchiampoPadova
28.1Attack48.2
67.5Defence75.4
38.6Form67.5
46.1Power64.8
0.42xG0.91
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