Arzignano Valchiampovs
Padova
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/21/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Arzignano Valchiampo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Padova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80