Arzignano Valchiampovs
Novara
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/25/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arzignano Valchiampo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 Novara
Original prediction
Arzignano Valchiampo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.3% | 42.2% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.2% | 29.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.5% | 28.4% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Arzignano Valchiampo
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Arzignano Valchiampo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80