GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/17/2024, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Arzignano Valchiampo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Novara are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.1 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arzignano ValchiampoLWDDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NovaraWWWLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
28.1Attack34.2
67.5Defence57.0
38.6Form37.7
46.1Power45.4
0.78xG0.61
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