GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/24/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Arzignano Valchiampo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lumezzane are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arzignano ValchiampoLWLDW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LumezzaneLLDDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Arzignano ValchiampoLumezzane
28.1Attack43.0
67.5Defence57.9
38.6Form46.5
46.1Power50.8
0.75xG0.78
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