Arzignano Valchiampovs
Juventus U23
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/10/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arzignano Valchiampo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arzignano Valchiampo 2-1 Juventus U23
Original prediction
Arzignano Valchiampo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.1% | 57.9% | 17.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.3% | 22.8% | -7.5 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.6% | 19.3% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Arzignano Valchiampo
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Arzignano Valchiampo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00