GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/10/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Arzignano Valchiampo are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arzignano ValchiampoDDLDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Giana ErminioLLDLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Arzignano ValchiampoGiana Erminio
28.1Attack40.4
67.5Defence61.4
38.6Form46.5
46.1Power50.7
0.69xG0.73
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