GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/28/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Arzignano Valchiampo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arzignano ValchiampoLWDLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atalanta IIWLWDD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Arzignano ValchiampoAtalanta II
28.1Attack37.7
67.5Defence68.4
38.6Form51.8
46.1Power54.4
0.55xG0.69
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