GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/20/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Arzignano Valchiampo are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (DLLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Alessandria are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arzignano Valchiampo hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arzignano ValchiampoDLLL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.25/2.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
AlessandriaLLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Arzignano ValchiampoAlessandria
28.1Attack17.5
67.5Defence57.9
38.6Form20.2
46.1Power34.3
0.79xG0.41
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