1. Division1. Division
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Arys

Arys

Home
LW
32
Full time
Yelimay Semey 2

Yelimay Semey 2

Away
WWL
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Arys(34%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Arys
Win probability
Arys
34%
Draw
27%
Yelimay Semey 2
39%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Arys
54
Yelimay Semey 2
61
Defence
Arys
6
Yelimay Semey 2
53
Momentum
Arys
50
Yelimay Semey 2
67
Danger (xG)
Arys
1.35
Yelimay Semey 2
1.50
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Arys)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Yelimay Semey 2)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (Arys)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Yelimay Semey 2)
1.20
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ArysArys
LWDL
Yelimay Semey 2Yelimay Semey 2
WWLL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Arys34%
Draw27%
Yelimay Semey 239%

Yelimay Semey 2 leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Arys head into this in 1. Division fixture in mixed form (LW), while Yelimay Semey 2 arrive in decent form (WWL). Arys have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 67% for Yelimay Semey 2 over 3 games.

The model rates Arys's attack at 54/100 against a 53/100 Yelimay Semey 2 defence, and Yelimay Semey 2's attack at 61/100 against a 6/100 Arys backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Arys have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game at home. Yelimay Semey 2 have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Arys have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Arys to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Arys 3353%, Draw 2720%, Yelimay Semey 2 3927%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Arys 1Draws 00 Yelimay Semey 2
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Arys
W32
Yelimay Semey 2

Recent form

Arys

Arys

L
vs Turan Turkistan
16 Jul 2026
04
W
vs Yelimay Semey 2
3 Jul 2026
32
D
@ Ekibastuz
12 Jun 2026
11
L
vs Khan Tengri
15 May 2026
01
Yelimay Semey 2

Yelimay Semey 2

W
@ Khan Tengri
16 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Astana II
10 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Arys
3 Jul 2026
23
L
vs Kaspij Aktau 2
14 May 2026
04

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Arys vs Yelimay Semey 2?

GoalVio's model predicts Arys to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Arys vs Yelimay Semey 2?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Arys vs Yelimay Semey 2?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arys vs Yelimay Semey 2?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more