GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Cup · 3/21/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arys are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Arys hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 57.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Cup, while Arys holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arys

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Arys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ArysWWL

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
Yelimay SemeyL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
ArysYelimay Semey
66.7Attack50.0
57.6Defence75.0
69.7Form50.0
64.9Power57.7
1.73xG1.10
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