Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arys 3-0 Tobol 2
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
22.5%
Model confidence
7.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArysLLLWW
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tobol 2LLLLD
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ArysTobol 2
37.3Attack47.1
25.5Defence5.9
25.5Form13.7
31.6Power25.2
2.18xG1.93