Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Taraz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arys 1-1 Taraz
Original prediction
Taraz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Taraz
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Taraz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArysDWLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
TarazDLWWD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ArysTaraz
35.2Attack42.6
29.6Defence57.4
25.9Form44.4
32.4Power49.5
0.94xG1.76