Arysvs
Shakhter Karagandy
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Arys are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shakhter Karagandy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 55.3-point power-rating edge (32.4 v 87.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.4% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhter Karagandy
Probability
89.4%
Model confidence
89.4%
Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20