Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyran · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Arys are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kyran are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kyran hold a 21.0-point power-rating edge (32.4 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the 1. Division, while Kyran holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kyran
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
60.3%
Kyran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75