Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Astana II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Arys are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Astana II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Astana II hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (32.4 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the 1. Division, while Astana II holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Astana II
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
9.6%
Astana II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20