Arysvs
Akademiya Ontustik
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 10/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akademiya Ontustik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arys 1-0 Akademiya Ontustik
Original prediction
Akademiya Ontustik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.54 | 25.4% | 26.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.9% | 24.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 51.7% | 49.5% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Akademiya Ontustik
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Akademiya Ontustik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80