Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aryan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aryan 0-0 United, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aryan 2-1 United
Original prediction
Aryan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.4% | 39.9% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.7% | 30.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.9% | 29.3% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Aryan 0–0 United
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Aryan
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Aryan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AryanWWDDD
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
UnitedWDWWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AryanUnited
48.1Attack41.7
81.5Defence75.0
48.1Form58.3
57.3Power59.5
0.96xG0.70