Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Aryan are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Measurers are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Measurers hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Calcutta Premier Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00