Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Artsakh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Artsakh are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Van are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Van hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Artsakh holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Artsakh
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
11.0%
Artsakh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00