Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plzen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Artis 0-3 Plzen
Original prediction
Plzen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.87 | 15.8% | 25.7% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 21.0% | 22.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 63.2% | 51.8% | -11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Plzen
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArtisWWLLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PlzenDWLWD
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ArtisPlzen
33.3Attack73.3
27.8Defence20.0
22.2Form40.0
31.0Power47.4
1.52xG2.17