Artesanos Metepecvs
Cañoneros Marina
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga Premier Serie A · 10/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Artesanos Metepec · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Artesanos Metepec 3-0 Cañoneros Marina
Original prediction
Artesanos Metepec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 10:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.05 | 87.8% | 69.4% | -18.4 pts |
| Draw | 9.16 | 10.1% | 17.6% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 43.20 | 2.1% | 13.0% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Artesanos Metepec
Probability
69.4%
Model confidence
69.4%
Artesanos Metepec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 1 · GA 16 · avg 0.20/3.20