Arsenal Wvs
Crystal Palace W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/13/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal W 0-0 Crystal Palace W
Original prediction
Arsenal W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 90.4% | 51.8% | -38.7 pts |
| Draw | 14.02 | 6.7% | 22.6% | 15.9 pts |
| Away | 32.58 | 2.9% | 25.6% | 22.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 13.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-38.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal W
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Arsenal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80