Arsenal Wvs
Aston Villa W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 10/15/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Arsenal W are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Aston Villa W are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal W hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (74.0 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.5% in the FA WSL, while Arsenal W holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arsenal W
Probability
87.5%
Model confidence
87.5%
Arsenal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.50
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00