Arsenalvs
Torpedo Zhodino
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Zhodino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arsenal 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal 2-4 Torpedo Zhodino
Original prediction
Torpedo Zhodino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.57 | 20.2% | 17.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.4% | 24.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 54.4% | 57.2% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Arsenal 0–1 Torpedo Zhodino
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Zhodino
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Torpedo Zhodino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 0 · GA 8 · avg 0.00/1.60