Arsenalvs
Shakhtyor Petrikov
COMPLETEDBelarus · 1. Division · 4/2/2023, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Arsenal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Shakhtyor Petrikov are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal hold a 49.0-point power-rating edge (79.5 v 30.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.7% in the 1. Division, while Arsenal holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arsenal
Probability
92.7%
Model confidence
92.7%
Arsenal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.25/2.00