Arsenalvs
Real Madrid
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 12/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Arsenal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArsenalWWDLW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Real MadridWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ArsenalReal Madrid
63.3Attack71.8
73.3Defence61.5
56.7Form79.5
62.4Power73.4
1.52xG1.13