GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 4/8/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arsenal · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Arsenal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Osipovichy are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal hold a 55.2-point power-rating edge (79.5 v 24.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.3% in the 1. Division, while Arsenal holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arsenal

Probability

92.3%

Model confidence

92.3%

Arsenal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ArsenalWDLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OsipovichyLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
ArsenalOsipovichy
89.6Attack37.0
68.8Defence7.4
84.4Form18.5
79.5Power24.2
4.50xG0.56
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