Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MKK-Dnepr · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Arsenal are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while MKK-Dnepr are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MKK-Dnepr hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.1% in the Premier League, while MKK-Dnepr holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MKK-Dnepr
Probability
70.1%
Model confidence
70.1%
MKK-Dnepr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80