Arsenalvs
ML Vitebsk
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 5/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ML Vitebsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Arsenal are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while ML Vitebsk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ML Vitebsk hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Premier League, while ML Vitebsk holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ML Vitebsk
Probability
72.1%
Model confidence
13.9%
ML Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80