Arsenalvs
Manchester City
COMPLETEDEngland · Community Shield · 8/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal 3-0 Manchester City
Original prediction
Arsenal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Arsenal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArsenalDLWDW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Manchester CityWWDLD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
ArsenalManchester City
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.36xG1.16