Arsenalvs
FC Dnepr Mogilev
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal 0-0 FC Dnepr Mogilev
Original prediction
Arsenal
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 32.0% | 36.0% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.0% | 28.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 39.0% | 35.3% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Arsenal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20