Arsenalvs
Dinamo Brest
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Brest · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Arsenal 0-1 Dinamo Brest, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal 0-1 Dinamo Brest
Original prediction
Dinamo Brest
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.85 | 15.7% | 16.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.4% | 23.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 61.9% | 59.5% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Projected Score
Arsenal 0–1 Dinamo Brest
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Brest
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Dinamo Brest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArsenalDLDDL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo BrestWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ArsenalDinamo Brest
36.8Attack55.6
47.4Defence72.2
38.6Form61.1
43.3Power62.8
0.62xG1.69