Arsenal U19vs
Lille U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal U19 2-3 Lille U19
Original prediction
Arsenal U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.4% | 50.1% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.88 | 18.4% | 24.1% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 5.22 | 17.2% | 25.8% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal U19
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Arsenal U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20