Arsenal Tulavs
Makhachkala
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 7/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Makhachkala · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Arsenal Tula are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Makhachkala are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Makhachkala hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the First League, while Makhachkala holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Makhachkala
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Makhachkala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20