Arsenal TulavsLeningradets

Arsenal Tula are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leningradets are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal Tula hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the First League, while Arsenal Tula holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.