GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 4/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Volna Nizhegorodskaya · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Arsenal Tula II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Volna Nizhegorodskaya are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Volna Nizhegorodskaya hold a 50.5-point power-rating edge (29.7 v 80.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.1% in the Second League - Group 3, while Volna Nizhegorodskaya holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Volna Nizhegorodskaya

Probability

89.3%

Model confidence

16.1%

Volna Nizhegorodskaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal Tula IIDLWLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Volna NizhegorodskayaWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Arsenal Tula IIVolna Nizhegorodskaya
29.8Attack75.4
28.1Defence78.9
21.1Form86.0
29.7Power80.1
0.45xG3.43
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