Arsenal Tula IIvs
Shumbrat
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 8/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shumbrat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal Tula II 1-1 Shumbrat
Original prediction
Shumbrat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Shumbrat
Probability
79.9%
Model confidence
79.9%
Shumbrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Arsenal Tula IIDDLLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ShumbratDDWLL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Arsenal Tula IIShumbrat
29.8Attack64.9
28.1Defence56.1
21.1Form63.2
29.7Power62.2
0.77xG2.83