Arsenal Tula IIvs
Kvant
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal Tula II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal Tula II 0-1 Kvant
Original prediction
Arsenal Tula II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 56.9% | 49.0% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.6% | 25.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.64 | 19.4% | 25.9% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal Tula II
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Arsenal Tula II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60