GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 4/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Spartak Tambov · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Arsenal Tula II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FK Spartak Tambov are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Spartak Tambov hold a 48.1-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 76.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Second League - Group 3, while FK Spartak Tambov holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Spartak Tambov

Probability

83.8%

Model confidence

16.4%

FK Spartak Tambov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal Tula IILLDLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FK Spartak TambovWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Arsenal Tula IIFK Spartak Tambov
29.6Attack59.3
25.9Defence83.3
20.4Form85.2
28.8Power76.9
0.45xG2.76
View match centre →