Arsenal Tula IIvs
Avangard Kursk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avangard Kursk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal Tula II 1-1 Avangard Kursk
Original prediction
Avangard Kursk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Avangard Kursk
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
12.7%
Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Arsenal Tula IILLLLL
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Avangard KurskLLLWL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Arsenal Tula IIAvangard Kursk
29.6Attack42.6
25.9Defence57.4
20.4Form44.4
28.8Power49.4
0.77xG1.84