Arsenal Tivatvs
Otrant-Olympic
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Otrant-Olympic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal Tivat 1-2 Otrant-Olympic
Original prediction
Otrant-Olympic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.9% | 30.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.6% | 28.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.5% | 40.8% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Otrant-Olympic
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Otrant-Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60