Arsenal Tivatvs
Mladost DG
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 9/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal Tivat 0-1 Mladost DG
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.9% | 34.4% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.5% | 29.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.6% | 35.7% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.8%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Arsenal TivatLLDDD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mladost DGWLDLD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Arsenal TivatMladost DG
39.8Attack0.0
46.3Defence100.0
38.9Form33.3
43.6Power45.3
1.04xG1.19