GGOALVIO

Montenegro · First League · 7/30/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jezero · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arsenal Tivat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jezero are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Jezero hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the First League, while Jezero holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jezero

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Jezero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal TivatWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
JezeroLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Arsenal TivatJezero
39.8Attack38.0
46.3Defence64.8
38.9Form47.2
43.6Power51.5
0.88xG1.14
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