Arsenal Tivatvs
Dečić
POSTPONEDMontenegro · First League · 10/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dečić · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.48 | 20.2% | 32.5% | 12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.6% | 29.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 52.2% | 38.1% | -14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Dečić
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Dečić has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Arsenal TivatLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DečićDLDLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Arsenal TivatDečić
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
1.16xG1.04