GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 5/2/2023, 8:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arsenal Sarandi are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Villa Mitre are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Mitre hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Copa Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal SarandiLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Villa MitreWLWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Arsenal SarandiVilla Mitre
33.3Attack11.1
66.7Defence88.9
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power48.3
1.08xG0.94
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